Several NOOS partners provide operational model forecasts for the North Sea area on a daily basis. A range of information and emergency response systems is based on the available forecasts. All these systems can benefit from a systematic combination of the variety of forecasts in a Multi Model Ensemble (MME).
The Working Group aims at providing a Multi Model Ensemble (MME) which shall serve two main purposes:
- The MME shall provide the basis for the development of uncertainty estimates for all forecast products.
- The MME system shall provide an estimate of the best overall forecast, i.e. have a reduced overall error compared to every single ensemble member.